Cleveland vs St. Louis First Inning Run?
KXMLBRFI-26APR141945CLESTL · closes Apr 17, 2026 · 4 days remaining
Price
Last
36¢
Bid
37¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
7¢
24h Volume
$53
Open Interest
$171
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 16907.0% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 5349.5% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 4779% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.32 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.9/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 16907% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
38 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:00:51 PM
About this market
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Cleveland vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 14, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBRFI-26APR141945CLESTL yes 100