Boston vs Minnesota First Inning Run?
KXMLBRFI-26APR151340BOSMIN · closes Apr 18, 2026 · 5 days remaining
Price
Last
45¢
Bid
40¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
5¢
24h Volume
$89
Open Interest
$89
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 11053.9% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 4912.8% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.13 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 466% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 0.42 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.9/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 9672% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
13 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:13:06 PM
About this market
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Boston vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBRFI-26APR151340BOSMIN yes 100