Will Boston score over 6.5 runs?

KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26APR131940BOSMIN-BOS7 · closes Apr 16, 2026 · 3 days remaining

Price

Last
27¢
Bid
27¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$284
Open Interest
$284

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)33418.6%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)4571.6%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI3Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround3.3%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY16709%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

7 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:14:06 PM

About this market

If Boston scores 7+ runs in the Boston vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 13, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26APR131940BOSMIN-BOS7 yes 100

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