Will Baltimore win at least 90 games this season?
KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T90 · closes Nov 8, 2026 · 209 days remaining
Price
Last
25¢
Bid
27¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
3¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$730
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 472.9% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 64.7% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 3 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 2.8% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.15 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 201% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
43 indicator snapshots · 6 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 11:30:21 AM
About this market
If Baltimore has 90+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T90 yes 100