Jrue Holiday: 4+ assists

KXNBAAST-26APR14PORPHX-PORJHOLIDAY5-4 · closes Apr 29, 2026 · 15 days remaining

Price

Last
69¢
Bid
80¢
Ask
86¢
Spread
6¢
24h Volume
$6
Open Interest
$5

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)590.5%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)9448.0%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI4Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround3.9%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY4724%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

3 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:10:03 PM

About this market

If Jrue Holiday records 4+ Assists in the Portland at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNBAAST-26APR14PORPHX-PORJHOLIDAY5-4 yes 100

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