What will the announcers say during Portland vs San Antonio Professional Basketball Game?

51¢mid
Bid/Ask 33/69¢·Spread 36¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 6, 2026·17d remaining
KXNBAMENTION-26APR21PORSAS-AIRB
7-day price51 snapshots
41¢32¢Apr 15Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and zero open interest despite a massive 36¢ spread and astronomical 4269% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale quote rather than a genuine market consensus. The resolution criteria—whether announcers will say "airball" during a specific NBA game on 5/6/2026—is inherently difficult to predict with high realized volatility of 1111%, and the 1.7 information arrivals per hour indicate active but sparse market activity. With only 17 days to expiry and a cliff risk index of 2, this appears to be a novelty or test market that lacks sufficient liquidity to trade meaningfully.

Resolution rules

If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Airball / Airballs / Airballed as part of Portland vs San Antonio Professional Basketball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4269.0%
IY (No) 1035.6%
Adj IY 4269%
CRI 2
RV 1111%
VR 1.77
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4269.0%
IY (No)1035.6%
Adj IY4269%
CRI2
RV1111%
VR1.77
IAR1.7/h
Overround9.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
36¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 3:28:01 PM
Indicators computed 4/18/2026, 3:23:20 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBAMENTION-26APR21PORSAS-AIRB yes 100

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