LaMelo Ball: 20+ points

KXNBAPTS-26APR14MIACHA-CHALBALL1-20 · closes Apr 28, 2026 · 15 days remaining

Price

Last
68¢
Bid
53¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
14¢
24h Volume
$516
Open Interest
$516

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)2116.1%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)2690.9%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI1Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround10.8%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV552%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR1.24Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR1.6/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY2691%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

15 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
14¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:30:20 PM

About this market

If LaMelo Ball records 20+ Points in the Miami vs Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNBAPTS-26APR14MIACHA-CHALBALL1-20 yes 100

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