What will be Josh Giddey's next team?

KXNEXTTEAMNBA-26JGID-CHI · closes Oct 21, 2026 · 190 days remaining

Price

Last
94¢
Bid
62¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
32¢
24h Volume
$50
Open Interest
$55

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)117.5%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)312.7%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI2Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY156%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

2 indicator snapshots · 4 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
32¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:04:02 PM

About this market

If Josh Giddey's next team is Stays with Chicago or Retires before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNEXTTEAMNBA-26JGID-CHI yes 100

Related concepts