Dallas at Toronto Winner?

KXNHLGAME-26APR13DALTOR-TOR · closes Apr 27, 2026 · 14 days remaining

Price

Last
37¢
Bid
36¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$3,575
Open Interest
$7,059

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)4347.3%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)1499.5%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI2Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS0.03Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV291%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR0.38Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR0.5/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY4230%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

7-Day History

53 indicator snapshots · 10 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:35:27 PM

About this market

If TOR Maple Leafs wins the Dallas at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR13DALTOR-TOR yes 100

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