Justin Hryckowian: 1+ goals

This market shows extreme distress signals with the No side offering a staggering 13,734.6% implied yield versus just 498.3% for Yes, indicating severe mispricing or a critical information event. The price has surged 79 cents in seven days to 84¢ while volume remains anemic at $630.52 with a full-spread bid-ask, suggesting illiquidity is masking true market sentiment and the cliff risk index of 5 signals high resolution uncertainty. With only 14 days to expiry and a game originally scheduled for April 18, the discrepancy between the 84% probability and the inverted yield structure suggests either the game status is in question or the market is pricing in late-breaking information that hasn't fully propagated.

Resolution rules

If Justin Hryckowian records at least 1+ goals in the MIN Wild vs DAL Stars professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade