Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.4% in June 2026?
KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.4 · closes Jul 30, 2026 · 108 days remaining
Price
Last
5¢
Bid
4¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
10¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$91
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 8123.6% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 14.1% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 24 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 1.4% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 4062% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
1 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.568
Label
neutral
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:31:10 PM
About this market
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.4% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXPCECORE-26JUN-T0.4 yes 100