Will Scottie Scheffler win the PGA Championship?
KXPGATOUR-PGC26-SSCH · closes May 31, 2026 · 47 days remaining
Price
Last
18¢
Bid
17¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$17,915
Open Interest
$17,477
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 3753.0% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 157.4% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 5 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.3% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.06 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1706% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 2.90 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 4.6/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 3532% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
11 indicator snapshots · 9 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
—¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:31:01 PM
About this market
If Scottie Scheffler wins the PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXPGATOUR-PGC26-SSCH yes 100