Will Sam Burns win the RBC Heritage?
KXPGATOUR-RBH26-SBUR · closes May 3, 2026 · 19 days remaining
Price
Last
3¢
Bid
3¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
0¢
24h Volume
$15,165
Open Interest
$15,271
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 60930.7% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 58.3% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 32 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.5% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.00 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 30465% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
1 indicator snapshots · 10 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
—¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:00:54 PM
About this market
If Sam Burns wins the RBC Heritage, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXPGATOUR-RBH26-SBUR yes 100