Will the silver close price be above $81.99 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KXSILVERMON-26APR3017-T81.99 · closes Apr 30, 2026 · 17 days remaining
Price
Last
20¢
Bid
21¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
9¢
24h Volume
$21.78
Open Interest
$889.78
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 8549.0% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 534.3% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 4 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 18.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 2833% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.75 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 2.9/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 8549% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
336 indicator snapshots · 5 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.568
Label
neutral
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 7:12:00 PM
About this market
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on April 30, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 81.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXSILVERMON-26APR3017-T81.99 yes 100