Australia unemployment rate in Mar 2026?

KXUE-AUS26APR-4.1 · closes May 16, 2026 · 32 days remaining

Price

Last
65¢
Bid
62¢
Ask
73¢
Spread
11¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$240.56

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)689.6%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)1835.7%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI2Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround5.5%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY918%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

17 indicator snapshots · 4 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.568
Label
neutral
Spread
11¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:08:06 PM

About this market

If Australia unemployment rate is above 4.1% for Mar 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXUE-AUS26APR-4.1 yes 100

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