Will Dortmund eSports win the FOKUS vs. Dortmund eSports Valorant match?

KXVALORANTGAME-26APR141200FKSDOR-DOR · closes Apr 28, 2026 · 15 days remaining

Price

Last
6¢
Bid
8¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
12¢
24h Volume
$4
Open Interest
$98

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)38324.1%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)156.1%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI16Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV5183%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR2.99Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR3.9/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY38324%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

112 indicator snapshots · 0 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 6:01:24 PM

About this market

If Dortmund eSports wins the VCL DACH: Evolution 2026: FOKUS vs. Dortmund eSports Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXVALORANTGAME-26APR141200FKSDOR-DOR yes 100

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