Will Czechia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?

KXWCROUND-26QUAR-CZE · closes Aug 3, 2026

Price

Last
0¢
Bid
1¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
34¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$0

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)Annualized return on the NO side
CRICliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IYRisk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

2 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
34¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 2:49:54 PM

About this market

If Czechia is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXWCROUND-26QUAR-CZE yes 100

Related concepts