Will Martin Zubimendi be in the Spain World Cup final squad?

60¢mid
Bid/Ask 55/65¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jun 16, 2026·60d remaining
KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-MZUB

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows zero liquidity with no volume or open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable—it likely reflects a failed price discovery rather than genuine market consensus on Zubimendi's World Cup squad chances. The extreme 496.2% implied yield on the Yes side and 10¢ spread suggest the market is essentially inactive, and with 60 days to expiry, there's minimal time for liquidity to develop before resolution. The neutral regime score and cliff risk index of 1 indicate this is a low-conviction, illiquid position that shouldn't be traded without significant caution.

Resolution rules

If Martin Zubimendi is selected for the final squad for the Spain national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.3%
IY (No) 747.3%
Adj IY 306%
CRI 1
Overround 22.9%
LAS 0.18
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)500.3%
IY (No)747.3%
Adj IY306%
CRI1
Overround22.9%
LAS0.18

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 11:34:04 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/17/2026, 11:23:09 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXWCSQUAD-26ESP-MZUB yes 100

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