Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >102.99 on Apr 13, 2026?
KXWTI-26APR13-T102.99 · closes Apr 13, 2026 · 0 days remaining
Price
Last
47¢
Bid
41¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
4¢
24h Volume
$78,101
Open Interest
$40,066
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | — | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | — | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 1 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | 47.000 | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 5.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.07 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 5351% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 0.35 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 7.1/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 93480% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
532 indicator snapshots · 22 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.635
Label
taker
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 3:15:08 PM
About this market
If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on April 13, 2026 is above $102.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXWTI-26APR13-T102.99 yes 100