Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >89.99 on Apr 14, 2026?

KXWTI-26APR14-T89.99 · closes Apr 14, 2026 · 1 days remaining

Price

Last
97¢
Bid
96¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$404
Open Interest
$3,846

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)2141.3%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)>100,000%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI16Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround12.2%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV1177%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR2.20Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR4.3/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY100000%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

211 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:34:32 PM

About this market

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on April 14, 2026 is above $89.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXWTI-26APR14-T89.99 yes 100

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