Boston wins by over 1.5 points?

83¢
Bid/Ask 83/85¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $66.71·OI $66.71·Closes May 3, 2026·15d remaining
KXNBASPREAD-26APR19PHIBOS-BOS1
7-day price25 snapshots · 5 regime
83¢79¢Apr 18Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $66.71 in 24h volume and open interest, creating a dangerous cliff risk (index of 5) despite the tight 1¢ spread—the 83¢ price likely reflects minimal trading rather than genuine probability assessment. The astronomical No yield of 11,058.6% signals that backing the underdog is severely mispriced relative to the 83% implied probability, suggesting this thin market may not reflect true game odds. With 15 days to expiry and a basketball game originally scheduled for April 19, 2026, there's elevated resolution uncertainty that warrants caution before taking either side.

Resolution rules

If Boston wins the Philadelphia at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 by more than 1.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 506.3%
IY (No) 12069.5%
Adj IY 11925%
CRI 5
RV 351%
VR 1.53
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)506.3%
IY (No)12069.5%
Adj IY11925%
CRI5
RV351%
VR1.53
IAR1.9/h
Overround3.6%
LAS0.01

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 10:43:36 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/18/2026, 10:38:39 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBASPREAD-26APR19PHIBOS-BOS1 yes 100

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