Bucheon vs Incheon Utd Winner?

1¢
Bid/Ask 1/2¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $2,733.31·OI $2,223.81·Closes May 2, 2026·14d remaining
KXKLEAGUEGAME-26APR18BUCINC-BUC
7-day price85 snapshots · 2 regime
29¢1¢Apr 15Apr 18

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

Bucheon is priced at an extreme 1¢ with a staggering 30,016% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either severe undervaluation or a match that has already occurred or been postponed—the April 18 scheduled date has passed relative to the May 2 expiry. The 2,942% realized volatility and sharp 2¢-to-1¢ price drop over 7 days indicate significant uncertainty or information arrival, while the modest $2.7K daily volume and tight $2.2K open interest raise liquidity concerns for a market with only 14 days to resolution. The 12 Cliff Risk Index warrants caution, as this contract may face binary resolution risk if match status information becomes available.

Resolution rules

If Bucheon wins the Bucheon vs Incheon Utd professional Korea K League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 30016.4%
IY (No) 227.0%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 12
RV 2942%
VR 1.86
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)30016.4%
IY (No)227.0%
Adj IY0%
CRI12
RV2942%
VR1.86
IAR1.1/h
Overround-0.4%
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 8:24:15 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/18/2026, 7:53:34 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXKLEAGUEGAME-26APR18BUCINC-BUC yes 100

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