What is the current probability for "Will Shanxi Zhongyu win CBA?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 49¢ (49% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 12, 2026. 226 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Shanxi Zhongyu win CBA?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 168.4% and 155.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Shanxi Zhongyu win CBA?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Shanxi Zhongyu win CBA?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Shanxi Zhongyu win CBA?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Polymarket, closing December 12, 2026.

████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

49¢

Bid/Ask 1/97¢·Spread 96¢·Vol $0·OI $4.229·Closes Dec 12, 2026·226d remaining

0xbed33246255a61aefc3a46ddc3218b68563e0c9bb2d90053302d6834c7d5d775

7-day price328 snapshots · 2 regime

50¢49¢ current

Apr 2536¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the CBA. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of CBA per the rules of CBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the CBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 168.4%

IY (No) 155.5%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 1

Overround 8.4%

LAS 1.96

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	168.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	155.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	8.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.96	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/30/2026, 10:26:24 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 10:23:45 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xbed33246255a61aefc3a46ddc3218b68563e0c9bb2d90053302d6834c7d5d775 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions