Will Verona be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

The market has experienced significant downward price movement, declining 13.3% over seven days from 75¢ to 65¢, suggesting deteriorating relegation odds for Verona despite the current 65% implied probability. Liquidity is extremely thin with only $53 in 24-hour volume against $49.4k open interest, creating a wide 69¢ bid-ask spread that inflates the displayed yields (493.7% for Yes, 1702.9% for No) and makes these figures unreliable for decision-making. With just 40 days until expiry on May 28, 2026, the market is approaching resolution and the recent bearish trend warrants caution—the sharp price drop may reflect genuine fundamental deterioration in Verona's relegation risk or simply illiquidity-driven volatility.

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade