What will the announcers say during New York vs Atlanta Professional Basketball Game?

72¢mid

Bid/Ask 53/90¢·Spread 37¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·19d remaining

KXNBAMENTION-26APR23NYKATL-AIRB

7-day price19 snapshots · 1 regime

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 37¢ spread and astronomical implied yields exceeding 1,600% on both sides—a classic sign of a broken or inactive market. The resolution criteria hinge on commentators saying "airball" during a specific NBA matchup on 5/7/2026, yet the 0¢ Yes price suggests near-zero conviction that this linguistic event will occur, which seems implausibly low given airballs are common basketball occurrences. With only 20 days to expiry and no trading activity, this market appears abandoned and should not be considered for real capital allocation.

Resolution rules

If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Airball / Airballs / Airballed as part of New York vs Atlanta Professional Basketball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1666.6%

IY (No) 2119.3%

Adj IY 320%

CRI 1

Overround 10.3%

LAS 0.70

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1666.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2119.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	320%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	10.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.70	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

37¢

Computed

4/18/2026, 12:57:55 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/18/2026, 12:53:22 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAMENTION-26APR23NYKATL-AIRB yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →