U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$263K
Best sibling
Pakistan 16¢
Ticker
0xdb3df04f…500f
Price history
6¢ current
−6¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xdb3df04f…500f
Event family
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$263K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Canada 45¢
Current share
3%
European Union
polymarket · 0xdb3df04fc73bd716ab5619aebaaaa42a85c10b0faed27b654b5e5ec5714f500f
Pakistan
polymarket · 0x85ad30282d095dd426c2b8c61a0f12c5fd1e751d1dd30830351001ced5fda42e
South Korea
polymarket · 0xcc9b5eb0fb5b7fa763bee8c0d37cb4559a8cc0336dce6dc34b54d072720c807d
India
polymarket · 0x533aab0d99851ea6dccf14861b8b7bb5026a40a15718769f8cc519d93380b391
Taiwan
polymarket · 0x42520d88b4fa9d58ea74d3579b14398e76873a88c09bbfc9e0e801694a547d5c
Argentina
polymarket · 0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5
Indonesia
polymarket · 0xffe86f7d81d3834d1a9f71c7d9700c62d53bc051f0fcd6efbadeb1c26c48837a
Vietnam
polymarket · 0xd60f9b0c5ce8c507e463731b67017dec027eea02bf4bfd3c3dccb364fc2262b7
Japan
polymarket · 0xfe61b06cd6643f489a4781a327cdf06bfd639e95151d938c801758a4bea41b73
Brazil
polymarket · 0x66cbd462cd4e08dacb506dcc0df32b8a7ccf29d1c2f039f85e36eb768026b729
Canada
polymarket · 0x81e8f9fd1c08c597b716ea800a97c6d04d60c985a2c388bc6d77a0f85e643df8
Russia
polymarket · 0x5b2d1c35c4510f926d8d026b61ed29816485c1cef9051a251e4b8672026075da
Australia
polymarket · 0x7531c660ca20317d50ca9dd3a3b1df7659509bb6a415ac1f026c63be5061afb3
Mexico
polymarket · 0x5cbca9adf861c7096259efa6ebaba8e69e90f00b8e5f77b272ed13070f9a2ee7
United Kingdom
polymarket · 0xdabf29e1d9a73105559248dc8cae409e87f7affb1f15ad39660ec2a4c6e6fed7
South Africa
polymarket · 0xc77d51450d7d97d1239b003889d0899410c68c383378d65aabf04b77666a4488
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.477
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027
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