SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Junior Caminero record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

33¢
$1K volume
$293 liquidity
628% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$228

Best sibling

Mike Trout 12¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-JCAMINERO13

Market snapshot

Junior Caminero in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Junior Caminero record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 33¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Junior Caminero

Family rank

#5 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

33¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40

Quote range

2¢-83¢

Family leader

Aaron Judge 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-JCAMINERO13. Family volume: $228.

Price history

33¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 34¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
31¢16
30¢166
27¢130
25¢400
24¢5
AskSize
34¢124
38¢500
55¢100
65¢100
73¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Junior Caminero records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-JCAMINERO13

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

551.3%

IY (No)

111.3%

Adj IY

249%

CRI

2

Overround

4.3%

LAS

0.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

551.3%
111.3%
Adj IY
249%
2
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.10

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index