SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Kyle Schwarber record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

64¢
$860 volume
$604 liquidity
378% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$228

Best sibling

Mike Trout 11¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-KSCHWARBER12

Market snapshot

Kyle Schwarber in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Kyle Schwarber record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 64¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $860. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Kyle Schwarber

Family rank

#2 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

64¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$860

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40

Quote range

2¢-83¢

Family leader

Aaron Judge 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-KSCHWARBER12. Family volume: $228.

Price history

64¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

63 / 65¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
63¢17
62¢5
60¢100
58¢500
55¢110
AskSize
65¢49
73¢83
75¢100
78¢500
85¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Kyle Schwarber records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-KSCHWARBER12

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

145.5%

IY (No)

421.9%

Adj IY

204%

CRI

2

Overround

4.3%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

145.5%
421.9%
Adj IY
204%
2
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.03

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