SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Mike Trout record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$2K volume
$2K liquidity
813% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$228

Best sibling

Juan Soto 7¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-MTROUT27

Market snapshot

Mike Trout in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Mike Trout record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $140. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40 family, this outcome ranks #10 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Mike Trout

Family rank

#10 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

24h volume

$140

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40

Quote range

2¢-83¢

Family leader

Aaron Judge 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-MTROUT27. Family volume: $228.

Price history

11¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 18¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
11¢20
10¢60
8¢340
7¢100
4¢500
AskSize
18¢69
22¢620
29¢101
33¢125
35¢104

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Mike Trout records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-MTROUT27

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2004.8%

IY (No)

30.6%

Adj IY

456%

CRI

8

Overround

4.3%

LAS

0.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2004.8%
30.6%
Adj IY
456%
8
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.55

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