Nick Kurtz · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40
Nick Kurtz is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40.
Price history
29¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Nick Kurtz records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nick Kurtz
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Shohei Ohtani 31¢
Range
3¢-31¢
Family volume
$333
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-NKURTZ16
Jun 24, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$333
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Nick Kurtz records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-NKURTZ16
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$333
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Shohei Ohtani 31¢
Current share
0%
Shohei Ohtani
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-SOHTANI17
Juan Soto
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-JSOTO22
Nick Kurtz
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-NKURTZ16
Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-JCAMINERO13
Jo Adell
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-JADELL7
Eugenio Suárez
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-ESUAREZ28
Hunter Goodman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-HGOODMAN15
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-BHARPER3
Bobby Witt Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-BWITT7
Giancarlo Stanton
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-GSTANTON27
Jose Ramirez
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-JRAMIREZ11
Austin Riley
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-ARILEY27
Gunnar Henderson
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-GHENDERSON2
Cal Raleigh
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-CRALEIGH29
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-AJUDGE99
Fernando Tatis Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-FTATIS23
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.