SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Nick Kurtz record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$475 volume
$475 liquidity
209% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$228

Best sibling

Mike Trout 11¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-NKURTZ16

Market snapshot

Nick Kurtz in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Nick Kurtz record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $475. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40 family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Nick Kurtz

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

18¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$475

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40

Quote range

2¢-83¢

Family leader

Aaron Judge 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-NKURTZ16. Family volume: $228.

Price history

18¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026Apr 27, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 16¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢816
8¢15
7¢100
6¢25
2¢500
AskSize
16¢5
17¢123
21¢500
53¢4
54¢796

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Nick Kurtz records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-NKURTZ16

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2850.1%

IY (No)

21.6%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

12

Overround

4.3%

LAS

1.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2850.1%
21.6%
Adj IY
0%
12
Overround
4.3%
LAS
1.00

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