SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Pete Alonso record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

12¢
$402 volume
$386 liquidity
177% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$228

Best sibling

Mike Trout 11¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-PALONSO25

Market snapshot

Pete Alonso in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Pete Alonso record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $402. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40 family, this outcome ranks #9 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Pete Alonso

Family rank

#9 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

12¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$402

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40

Quote range

2¢-83¢

Family leader

Aaron Judge 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-PALONSO25. Family volume: $228.

Price history

12¢ current

9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 29, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 19¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
12¢404
10¢107
8¢600
6¢500
2¢1.2K
AskSize
19¢5
20¢109
24¢500
53¢4
54¢778

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Pete Alonso records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-PALONSO25

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1818.0%

IY (No)

33.8%

Adj IY

379%

CRI

7

Overround

4.3%

LAS

0.58

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1818.0%
33.8%
Adj IY
379%
7
Overround
4.3%
LAS
0.58

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index