SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Fernando Tatis Jr. record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$265 volume
$265 liquidity
116% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$228

Best sibling

Mike Trout 11¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-FTATIS23

Market snapshot

Fernando Tatis Jr. in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Fernando Tatis Jr. record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $265. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40 family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$265

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40

Quote range

2¢-83¢

Family leader

Aaron Judge 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-FTATIS23. Family volume: $228.

Price history

9¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026Apr 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 8¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
3¢2
AskSize
8¢114
9¢110
10¢280
12¢680
20¢177

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-FTATIS23

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8011.6%

IY (No)

7.7%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

32

Overround

4.3%

LAS

1.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8011.6%
7.7%
Adj IY
0%
32
Overround
4.3%
LAS
1.67

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