SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026

Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 10¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$541 volume
$541 liquidity
238% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$228

Best sibling

Mike Trout 11¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-VGUERRERO27

Market snapshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $541. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40 family, this outcome ranks #16 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:03 AM UTC.

Outcome

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Family rank

#16 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$541

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40

Quote range

2¢-83¢

Family leader

Aaron Judge 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:03 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-VGUERRERO27. Family volume: $228.

Price history

14¢ current

+10¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 12¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
2¢53
AskSize
12¢115
13¢28
17¢500
54¢807
55¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. records 40+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-VGUERRERO27

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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