E15 year-round sales · Will legislation
E15 year-round sales is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
11¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
E15 year-round sales
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions 81¢
Range
1¢-81¢
Family volume
$955
Identifier
KXBILLS-E15
Jul 22, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$955
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-E15
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$955
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions 81¢
Current share
1%
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
kalshi · KXBILLS-BBAC
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kalshi · KXBILLS-ADSB
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kalshi · KXBILLS-AIO
DEFIANCE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DEFY
Critical-minerals stockpile
kalshi · KXBILLS-MIN
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
kalshi · KXBILLS-FISA
Railway safety bill
kalshi · KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
Insulin cost cap
kalshi · KXBILLS-26JUN-INSULIN
JAWBONE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-26-JAWB
E15 year-round sales
kalshi · KXBILLS-E15
Film/TV production expensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-TV
$2.50 Coin
kalshi · KXBILLS-250C
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
SHOWER Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-SHOW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.