Will Orlando score over 105.5 points?

This market shows extreme mispricing with the Yes contract trading at 99¢ despite only a 14-day window and modest $8,886 daily volume, implying Orlando will score over 105.5 points with near-certainty. The No side offers a staggering 13,765% implied yield versus just 499% for Yes, and the realized volatility of 1,913% combined with a 3.29 vol ratio suggests significant model uncertainty that contradicts the near-certain pricing. The sharp 55¢ to 99¢ price movement over seven days and high cliff risk index (5) warrant caution—this appears to be either a mispriced contract or reflecting information about team composition/injuries that hasn't fully propagated across venues.

Resolution rules

If the number of points scored by Orlando in the Charlotte vs Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026 is Above 105.5, then the market resolves to Yes.

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