Will Taylor Swift be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Taylor Swift be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,005 open interest, making the 2¢ price potentially unreliable for gauging true probability.

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6¢
Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $31.27·OI $1,114.45·Closes Dec 31, 2026·254d remaining
KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCH-26DEC-TAY
7-day price3 snapshots · 2 regime
5¢5¢ current
Apr 82¢Apr 15

Analysis

4d ago

This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,005 open interest, making the 2¢ price potentially unreliable for gauging true probability. The extreme 2681% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the minimal price rather than genuine market conviction, and the 1¢ spread suggests minimal trading activity to establish fair value. With 259 days until expiry and a neutral regime, this contract appears to be a speculative position rather than an actively-traded market.

Resolution rules

If Taylor Swift is #1 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2732.6%
IY (No) 7.6%
Adj IY 1366%
CRI 19
Overround -0.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2732.6%
IY (No)7.6%
Adj IY1366%
CRI19
Overround-0.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:22:49 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCH-26DEC-TAY yes 100

Related concepts

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