Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.61 on Apr 30?

85¢
Bid/Ask 0/99¢·Spread 99¢·Vol $0·OI $304·Closes May 1, 2026·13d remaining
KXH200MON-26APR30-2.610
7-day price57 snapshots · 6 regime
87¢3¢Apr 8Apr 15

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion typical of thin prediction markets, with zero 24-hour volume despite $304 open interest and a massive 99¢ spread. The 85% Yes price implies an extraordinarily high 491% annualized yield, while the No side offers an absurd 15,765.9% yield—a red flag suggesting the market may be mispriced or subject to low-liquidity arbitrage. The sharp 124% price movement over seven days (38¢ to 85¢) combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 6 indicates elevated uncertainty near resolution, and traders should be cautious about the reliability of either side's pricing given the negligible trading activity.

Resolution rules

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.61 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 502.9%
IY (No) 16150.0%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 6
Overround 22.0%
LAS 1.16
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)502.9%
IY (No)16150.0%
Adj IY0%
CRI6
Overround22.0%
LAS1.16

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
99¢
Computed
4/18/2026, 8:38:40 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/18/2026, 8:38:22 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.610 yes 100

Related concepts