Will the live cattle close price be above $241.99 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KXLCATTLEMON-26APR3017-T241.99 · closes Apr 30, 2026 · 15 days remaining
Price
Last
84¢
Bid
86¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
7¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$1,098
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 503.8% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 12010.1% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 5 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 13.8% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.12 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 8149% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 12.19 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 2.5/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 10563% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
506 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.568
Label
neutral
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/16/2026, 1:00:15 AM
About this market
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for live cattle on April 30, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 241.99 USd/Lbs, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXLCATTLEMON-26APR3017-T241.99 yes 100