Will GBP/USD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?
0xa2457051d0fe0cf1f63bdba391f305957ca1a93d73b71d925c83a73e1f8122eb · closes Dec 31, 2026 · 259 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 446.4% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 44.5% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 3 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 2.4% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 2430% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 13.23 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 7.3/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 446% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
796 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
How to trade
View on polymarket: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xa2457051d0fe0cf1f63bdba391f305957ca1a93d73b71d925c83a73e1f8122eb yes 100