Will UNLV win the College Football Mountain West Championship?

22¢

Bid/Ask 0/35¢·Spread 35¢·Vol $0·OI $5·Closes Jan 3, 2027·260d remaining

KXNCAAFMWC-26-UNLV

7-day price24 snapshots · 9 regime

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 35¢ spread and 496.9% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The sharp 7-day price movement from 8¢ to 22¢ suggests minimal trading activity driving outsized percentage swings, and the 0% risk-adjusted yield indicates the market may not be efficiently pricing UNLV's actual championship odds. With 260 days to expiration and a taker-regime classification, this appears to be a speculative position rather than a liquid prediction market.

Resolution rules

If UNLV wins the 2026 College Football Mountain West Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 496.9%

IY (No) 39.5%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 4

LAS 1.59

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	496.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	39.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	1.59	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

taker

Score

0.636

Spread

35¢

Computed

4/18/2026, 5:12:26 AM

Observability directEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/18/2026, 5:08:51 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNCAAFMWC-26-UNLV yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →