Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.58 on Apr 30?

The market has surged 77% over seven days to 85¢, pricing in a very high 85% probability that H200 compute will exceed $2.58/hour by April 30, 2026. However, the extremely wide 99¢ spread and anemic $11 daily volume suggest severe illiquidity, making the price potentially unreliable despite the high open interest of $407.58. The No side's astronomical 15,765% implied yield and elevated Cliff Risk Index of 6 indicate this market may be mispriced or vulnerable to sharp reversals as the May 1 expiry approaches in just 13 days.

Resolution rules

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.58 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade