Will the brent crude oil close price be above $90.99 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader sits at 92% across 11 bound outcomes, runner-up at 77%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
above $88.99
Outcomes
11
winner-take-all
Runner-up
77¢
above $90.99
Spread
15pp
contested
24h volume
$51K
liquid
Closes
May 29, 2026
0 days
Venue
Kalshi
11 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the brent crude oil close price be above
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $90.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T90.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $92.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T92.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $88.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T88.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $94.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T94.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 96.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $96.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T96.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 106.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $106.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T106.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 104.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $104.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T104.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 98.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $98.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T98.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 110.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $110.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T110.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 108.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $108.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T108.99
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 112.99 USD/Bbl on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $112.99
KXBRENTMON-26MAY2917-T112.99
What moved the line
- May 29above $94.99↓27pp44→17¢ · Kalshi
- May 29above $92.99↓20pp59→39¢ · Kalshi
- May 27above $96.99↓18pp49→31¢ · Kalshi
- May 29above $96.99↓18pp24→6¢ · Kalshi
- May 27above $98.99↓16pp40→24¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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