Egypt Premier League

30-day trend

Analysis

This market tracks the likelihood of a specific outcome in the Egypt Premier League, currently priced at 49% on the leading contract. The probability reflects relatively balanced odds between the frontrunner and near-equivalent alternatives, with substantial disagreement among traders visible in the runner-up sitting at 48%. Market depth appears moderate, with cumulative volume and open interest distributed across multiple contracts. The tight pricing suggests traders are uncertain about resolution, though directional conviction exists given that top alternatives cluster in similar ranges. Upcoming match results, team performance data, and league standings will be primary drivers of repricing. The uncertainty persists because near-term outcomes remain genuinely contested rather than reflecting information gaps alone.

• ›Current leader and runner-up separated by only 1 percentage point, indicating competitive uncertainty rather than consensus
• ›Polymarket and Kalshi both show consistent pricing across multiple contract variants (Man City ~39%, Arsenal ~61%), suggesting cross-platform agreement on relative probabilities
• ›24-hour volumes exceed $14k across most contracts, showing sustained trader participation but not extreme conviction levels
• ›Contract structure as multi-outcome winner-take-all means total probability mass must sum to 100% across all seven outcomes
• ›Upcoming Egypt Premier League matches and final standings will directly determine settlement, making near-term match results the primary repricing catalyst

What moved the line

• May 7Winner: Ceramica Cleopatra↓6pp42→36¢ · Polymarket
• May 8Winner: Ceramica Cleopatra↓5pp36→31¢ · Polymarket
• May 2Winner: Ceramica Cleopatra↓4pp43→39¢ · Polymarket
• May 7Winner: Zamalek↓3pp50→47¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds