Will Euro area GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.7%
Leader sits at 89% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 4%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Above 0.0%
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
4¢
Above 0.1%
Spread
85pp
dominant leader
24h volume
$10
thin orderbook
Closes
Jun 5, 2026
6 days
Venue
Kalshi
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Euro area GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0
Will Euro area GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.0%?: Above 0.0%
KXEZGDPQOQF-26JUN05-T0.0
Will Euro area GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.1%?: Above 0.1%
KXEZGDPQOQF-26JUN05-T0.1
Will Euro area GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.3%?: Above 0.3%
KXEZGDPQOQF-26JUN05-T0.3
Recently closed in recession
- Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 5, 2026 be above -0.08%last 3% · 1d
- Will Euro area inflation rate YoY flash for April 2026 be above 2.7%Above 2.7%last 86% · 5d
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?: 1.9%–2.2%last 48% · 8d
- Will Euro area GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%last 61% · 8d
- Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.9%Above 1.9%last 97% · 8d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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