Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 5, 2026 be above -0.08%
Leader sits at 3% across 15 bound outcomes, runner-up at 3%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Above -0.05%
Outcomes
15
winner-take-all
Runner-up
3¢
Above -0.10%
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
15 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.05%?: Above -0.05%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.05
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above 0.15%?: Above 0.15%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T0.15
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above 0.10%?: Above 0.10%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T0.10
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above 0.05%?: Above 0.05%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T0.05
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above 0.00%?: Above 0.00%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T0.00
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.55%?: Above -0.55%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.55
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.50%?: Above -0.50%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.50
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.45%?: Above -0.45%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.45
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.40%?: Above -0.40%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.40
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.35%?: Above -0.35%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.35
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.30%?: Above -0.30%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.30
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.25%?: Above -0.25%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.25
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.20%?: Above -0.20%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.20
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.15%?: Above -0.15%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.15
Will the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on Jun 6, 2026 be above -0.10%?: Above -0.10%
KXTRUFHOUCPI-26JUN05-T-0.10
Recently closed in recession
- Will Euro area inflation rate YoY flash for April 2026 be above 2.7%Above 2.7%last 86% · 5d
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?: 1.9%–2.2%last 48% · 7d
- Will Euro area GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q1 2026 be above 1.6%last 61% · 8d
- Will France inflation rate YoY prel for April 2026 be above 1.9%Above 1.9%last 97% · 8d
- Will Euro area GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above 0.7%last 89% · 8d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Other questions in recession.
In recession
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The 'how high will inflation get in 2026: above 4%' contract collapsed -21¢ to 30¢ in a single session, making it one of the largest single-day moves in the recession/inflation cluster. The move appears directly connected to today's 7% oil price crash, which significantly reduces near-term inflation pressure.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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