Winner-take-all answer·18 source contracts·Kalshi 18·refreshed just now·Closes May 29, 2026 · 0d

Will the gold close price be above 5211.99 USD/t.oz on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 97% across 18 bound outcomes, runner-up at 97%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

97%

above $4094.99

0¢runner-up 97¢leader 97¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

97¢

above $4114.99

Spread

0pp

contested

24h volume

$771

thin orderbook

Closes

May 29, 2026

0 days

Venue

Kalshi

18 bound

Open top contract Read answer

Source contractsPriceVolume

Will the gold close price be above 4094.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4094.9997¢$211 Will the gold close price be above 4114.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4114.9997¢$0 Will the gold close price be above 4134.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4134.9997¢$0 Will the gold close price be above 4194.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4194.9997¢$0

30-day trend

above $4094.9997¢above $4114.9996¢above $4134.9998¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 2d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will the gold close price be above 4

18 contracts$771

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will the gold close price be above 4094.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4094.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4094.99

97¢+3pp$211K→

Will the gold close price be above 4534.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4534.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4534.99

59¢+1pp$144K→

Will the gold close price be above 4634.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4634.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4634.99

33¢−3pp$96K→

Will the gold close price be above 4854.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4854.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4854.99

3¢—$65K→

Will the gold close price be above 4594.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4594.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4594.99

44¢−1pp$54K→

Will the gold close price be above 4614.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4614.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4614.99

38¢±0$50K→

Will the gold close price be above 4554.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4554.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4554.99

54¢−1pp$50K→

Will the gold close price be above 4574.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4574.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4574.99

49¢−1pp$48K→

Will the gold close price be above 4714.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4714.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4714.99

15¢±0$21K→

Will the gold close price be above 4694.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4694.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4694.99

18¢±0$18K→

Will the gold close price be above 4814.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4814.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4814.99

5¢−1pp$6K→

Will the gold close price be above 4794.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4794.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4794.99

6¢−2pp$6K→

Will the gold close price be above 4394.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4394.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4394.99

86¢—$1K→

Will the gold close price be above 4234.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4234.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4234.99

97¢−1pp$0K→

Will the gold close price be above 4214.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4214.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4214.99

97¢−1pp$0K→

Will the gold close price be above 4194.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4194.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4194.99

97¢−1pp$0K→

Will the gold close price be above 4134.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4134.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4134.99

97¢+1pp$0K→

Will the gold close price be above 4114.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $4114.99

KXGOLDW-26JUN0517-T4114.99

97¢−1pp$0K→

What moved the line

May 30above $4094.99↑3pp94→97¢ · Kalshi
May 30above $4634.99↓3pp33→30¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in markets

Will the brent crude oil close price be above $90.99 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDTlast 92% · 0d
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 90 USD/Bbl on Apr 22, 2026 at 5pm EDTabove $100.00last 96% · 1d
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?: ↑ $120$95.99 or belowlast 39% · 21d
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7600 by May 29, 2026last 59% · 0d
Will the gold close price be above $4146.99 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDTlast 97% · 0d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

Adjacent prediction questions.

In markets

WTI Oil Pricelead 90%Will the brent crude oil close price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDTlead 97%Crude Oil all time high by April 3023%Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be Between 85.00 and 85.99 on Apr 24, 2026lead 18%Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?: $65lead 97%Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?: ↓ $60lead 75%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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