SimpleFunctions
ResolvedFinal: Ipswich Town. Last odds shown below are frozen at close (May 5, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
2 contractsKalshiclosed 4 d agoCloses May 22, 2026 · 13d

Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC - More Markets

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 50% across 2 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

50%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

50%

2 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$30

2 contracts

Closes

May 22, 2026

13 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 84% (18 days, 18 points)Aggregate: 84% on 2026-05-02
Aggregate of 2 contracts · 18d

Bracket families

2 clusters across 2 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will Ipswich Town be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season

1 contract$30

Cluster 2

Will Queens Park Rangers be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season

1 contract$0

What moved the line

  • May 2Ipswich Town13pp7184¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

Lateral coverage

Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.

This page aggregates 2 contracts (50% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 4 d ago.