MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

30-day trend

Analysis

The 43% probability indicates that the leading candidate for MLS's 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year award is assessed as moderately favored but faces meaningful competition. The market reflects uncertainty driven by the season's progression, individual goalkeeper performance consistency, and voting patterns of MLS's award committee. Pedro Gallese leads the contracts at 34 cents, but several keepers—Kristijan Kahlina, Luis Barraza, and Chris Brady—are clustered at 24 cents, suggesting comparable viability. The market shows minimal trading volume across all contracts ($0 in 24-hour volume), indicating limited recent consensus-building. The final award determination will hinge on goalkeeper save percentages, shutouts, and team performance through the end of the 2026 regular season, with the winner announced after the season concludes. Team playoff success may also influence committee voting, though the primary voting period occurs after regular-season completion.

• ›Pedro Gallese's current market price (34¢) exceeds the next tier of competitors by 10 percentage points, suggesting measurable performance advantage through May 2026
• ›Four goalkeepers are tied at 24 cents, indicating fragmentation of second-tier support rather than consensus on the runner-up
• ›Zero trading volume across all contracts in the past 24 hours suggests the market is not actively repricing based on recent matches or statistics
• ›The MLS regular season runs through October 2026, meaning roughly 65% of games remain unplayed—significant performance data and injury risk remain
• ›Award voting typically emphasizes save percentage, shutouts, and minutes played; these stats will shift materially over the season's final five months

What moved the line

• May 32026 Goalkeeper of the Year: CJ dos Santos↓20pp47→27¢ · Polymarket
• May 32026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Andre Blake↓18pp46→28¢ · Polymarket
• May 32026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Roman Bürki↓18pp43→25¢ · Polymarket
• May 32026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Brad Stuver↓18pp46→28¢ · Polymarket
• May 62026 Goalkeeper of the Year: Pedro Gallese↑16pp31→47¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds