NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy Winner
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 96% across 1 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
96%
1 contract
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
1 contracts
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
24 days
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy Winner: Nick Suzuki
NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy Winner: Nick Suzuki
0x623c8f…d279
Analysis
This 90% probability indicates markets view Nick Suzuki as the heavily favored winner of the NHL's Frank J. Selke Trophy, awarded annually to the league's best defensive forward. The current market level reflects Suzuki's consistent two-way performance and reputation for defensive excellence throughout the 2025-26 season. The probability would move if competing forwards—particularly those with stronger playoff performances or late-season statistical surges—demonstrate measurable improvements in defensive metrics like plus-minus, takeaways, or penalty differential. The trophy winner will be determined in June 2026 when the NHL announces the award, with voting typically completed shortly after the regular season ends. Key factors analysts monitor include final-season defensive statistics across contenders, playoff performance visibility, voting patterns from previous years, and any injuries or performance changes in the final weeks of competition.
- ›Nick Suzuki's defensive rating and plus-minus relative to other top forward candidates in the final standings
- ›Playoff performance and visibility for Suzuki versus other Selke contenders through June
- ›Historical voting patterns showing whether voters favor statistical dominance or narrative/positional prestige
- ›Injury status or late-season performance changes for Suzuki or other shortlist-caliber forwards
- ›The margin between Suzuki (90%) and runner-up (7%) suggests concentrated confidence rather than genuine competitive uncertainty
What moved the line
- Jun 2Nick Suzuki↓4pp97→93¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 1Nick Suzuki↑3pp94→97¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in sports
- Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cuplast 97% · 0d
- ATP Tennis Matcheslast 50% · 0d
- WTA Tennis MatchesSemifinal match?: Elina Svitolinalast 50% · 1d
- Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cuplast 84% · 5d
- UEFA Champions Leaguelast 50% · 6d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (96% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In sports
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.