Peru vs. Spain - More Markets
Leader sits at 97% across 11 bound outcomes, runner-up at 83%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 0.5
Outcomes
11
winner-take-all
Runner-up
83¢
O/U 1.5
Spread
14pp
contested
24h volume
$1K
modest
Closes
Jun 9, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
11 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3aa499…93b3
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: Peru (-1.5)
0xc0244c…359e
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: Peru (-2.5)
0x92ddd4…a14a
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: Spain (-1.5)
0xda6c64…d492
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x8992e4…9ff8
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xa1a4d6…e622
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: Spain (-2.5)
0x0eef30…2652
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb3238b…bc15
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: O/U 0.5
0x282bdb…6c91
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xa12e99…cbf2
Peru vs. Spain - More Markets: O/U 5.5
0x83d76e…0188
What moved the line
- Jun 7O/U 5.5↓20pp50→30¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 7O/U 0.5↑17pp49→66¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 7Both Teams to Score↓3pp44→41¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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